NBA Injury Impact Meter
Injury Panic Index
How scared should a team be? Pick an injury and grade, enter the player’s numbers and role, and get a 0–10 score for how badly it hurts.
The interactive parts (gauge, calculator, filters) are not running because script.js did not load. Make sure script.js is uploaded next to this page and is not blocked or stripped by your site.
Jayson Tatum
BOS · Torn Achilles (right) · Grade 3 · Returned Mar 6, 2026 (about 10 months)
Season wrecker
A franchise-altering absence. The kind of news that changes the title conversation.
Ruptured it in the 2025 second round and had surgery within a day. He came back late in 2025-26, averaging about 20 points over his first nine games.
Run your own scenario
Choose an injury and grade and the weeks out and re-injury risk fill in automatically. Click an example below to load a real case.
Examples: past injuries
Real cases scored with the same formula, plus two hypotheticals. Click a row to load it into the gauge.
| # | Player | Injury | Grade | Time missed | Production | Panic score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayson Tatum BOS · 2025 playoffs | Torn Achilles (right) | G3 | Full season+Returned Mar 6, 2026 (about 10 months) | 26.8 / 6.0 / 8.7 | 9.5 |
| 2 | Kevin Durant GSW · 2018-19 Finals | Torn Achilles (right) | G3 | Full season+All of 2019-20 | 26.0 / 5.9 / 6.4est. | 8.7 |
| 3 | Kawhi Leonard LAC · 2020-21 playoffs | Torn ACL (right knee) | G3 | Full season+All of 2021-22 | 24.8 / 5.2 / 6.5 | 8.7 |
| 4 | Tyrese Haliburton IND · 2025 Finals | Torn Achilles (right) | G3 | Full season+All of 2025-26 | 18.6 / 9.2 / 3.5 | 8.4 |
| 5 | Kyrie Irving DAL · Mar 2025 | Torn ACL (left knee) | G3 | Full season+Rest of 2024-25 and all of 2025-26 | 24.7 / 4.6 / 4.8 | 8.4 |
| 6 | Jamal Murray DEN · 2020-21 | Torn ACL (left knee) | G3 | Full season+Rest of 2020-21 and all of 2021-22 | 21.2 / 4.8 / 4.0 | 7.6 |
| 7 | Klay Thompson GSW · 2018-19 Finals | Torn ACL (left knee) | G3 | Full season+All of 2019-20 (then a torn Achilles in 2020) | 21.5 / 2.4 / 3.8est. | 7.2 |
| 8 | Joel Embiid PHI · 2024-25 | Chronic left knee issues, arthroscopic surgery | G2 | 20 wks63 games in 2024-25 | 23.8 / 4.5 / 8.2 | 6.4 |
| 9 | Dereck Lively II DAL · Dec 2025 | Right foot stress fracture, surgery | G3 | 18 wksRest of 2025-26 (7 games played) | 8.4 / 1.5 / 7.0 | 4.6 |
| 10 | Star scorerHypothetical Hypothetical | Ankle sprain | G1 | 1 wk | 25.0 / 5.0 / 6.0 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Bench wingHypothetical Hypothetical | Ankle sprain | G1 | 2 wks | 5.0 / 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.6 |
Production is points / assists / rebounds per game from the season of the injury. est. marks an approximate stat line, not a verified figure.
How the score works
- Injury weight = 30% grade severity + 50% share of the regular season missed + 20% re-injury risk. Weeks out and re-injury risk (shown as a %) both fill in automatically from the injury and grade. You can override the weeks.
- Player weight = 70% production + 30% team reliance. Production is
PPG + 1.5×APG + 1.2×RPG, capped at 50. Reliance comes from role (franchise 1.0, star 0.85, starter 0.6, rotation 0.4, bench 0.2). - Panic score =
10 × (injury weight × player weight)0.75. The curve keeps role players near the green end and lets true superstar losses reach the red.
Average return times and re-injury percentages are rough modeling values for each injury type and grade, not medical predictions or true probabilities, and real recoveries vary widely. Grades are editorial classifications, not official medical grades. This tool is for fun and analysis, not medical or betting advice.